Njengoko sijonge phambili ku-2025, imeko-bume yorhwebo lwehlabathi ibonakala inzima kwaye igcwele amathuba. Ukungaqiniseki okukhulu okufana nokunyuka kwamaxabiso kunye noxinzelelo lwezopolitiko kuyaqhubeka, kodwa ukuqina kunye nokuguquguquka kwemarike yorhwebo lwehlabathi kubonelela ngesiseko esizele lithemba. Uphuhliso oluphambili lwalo nyaka lubonisa ukuba utshintsho olusisiseko kurhwebo lwehlabathi luyakhawuleza, ngakumbi phantsi kwempembelelo embaxa yokuqhubela phambili kwezobuchwepheshe kunye namaziko oqoqosho atshintshayo.
Ngowama-2024, urhwebo lweempahla kwihlabathi liphela kulindeleke ukuba lukhule nge-2.7% ukuya kufikelela kwi-$33 trillion, ngokutsho kwezibikezelo ze-WTO. Nangona eli nani liphantsi kunezibikezelo zangaphambili, lisagxininisa ukuqina kunye namathuba okukhula kwihlabathi liphela.
urhwebo. ITshayina, njengenye yamazwe amakhulu orhwebo kwihlabathi, isaqhubeka nokuba yinjini ebalulekileyo yokukhula korhwebo lwehlabathi, iqhubeka nokudlala indima entle nangona kukho uxinzelelo oluvela kwimfuno yasekhaya neyamazwe ngamazwe.
Sijonge phambili ku-2025, iindlela ezininzi eziphambili ziya kuba nefuthe elikhulu kurhwebo lwehlabathi. Okokuqala, ukuqhubela phambili okuqhubekayo kweteknoloji, ngakumbi ukusetyenziswa ngakumbi kwezobuchwepheshe bedijithali ezifana ne-AI kunye ne-5G, kuya kuphucula kakhulu ukusebenza kakuhle korhwebo kwaye kunciphise iindleko zokuthengiselana. Ngokukodwa, utshintsho lwedijithali luya kuba ngamandla abalulekileyo aqhuba ukukhula korhwebo, okwenza amashishini amaninzi athathe inxaxheba kwimarike yehlabathi. Okwesibini, ukubuyiselwa kancinci koqoqosho lwehlabathi kuya kuqhuba ukwanda kwemfuno, ngakumbi kwiimarike ezisakhulayo ezifana neIndiya kunye ne-Southeast Asia, eziya kuba zizinto ezintsha ezibalulekileyo ekukhuleni korhwebo lwehlabathi. Ukongeza, ukuphunyezwa okuqhubekayo kwephulo elithi "Belt and Road" kuya kukhuthaza intsebenziswano yorhwebo phakathi kweTshayina namazwe asendleleni.
Nangona kunjalo, indlela eya ekubuyeleni kwimeko yesiqhelo ayisiyongxaki. Izinto zezopolitiko zihlala ziyingxaki enkulu echaphazela urhwebo lwehlabathi. Imiba eqhubekayo efana nengxabano yaseRashiya neUkraine, ukungqubana kwezorhwebo phakathi kwe-US ne-China, kunye nokukhuselwa kwezorhwebo kwamanye amazwe kubeka imingeni kuphuhliso oluzinzileyo lwezorhwebo lwehlabathi. Ngaphezu koko, isantya sokubuyela kwezoqoqosho lwehlabathi sisenokungalingani, nto leyo ekhokelela ekutshintsheni kwamaxabiso eemveliso kunye nemigaqo-nkqubo yezorhwebo.
Nangona kukho le mingeni, kukho izizathu zokuba nethemba ngekamva. Ukuqhubela phambili okuqhubekayo kwezobuchwepheshe akupheleli nje ekutshintsheni kwamashishini emveli kodwa kuzisa namathuba amatsha orhwebo lwamazwe ngamazwe. Ukuba nje oorhulumente kunye namashishini basebenzisana ukujongana nale mingeni, u-2025 kusenokwenzeka ukuba uqalise umjikelo omtsha wokukhula korhwebo lwehlabathi.
Ngamafutshane, imbono yorhwebo lwehlabathi ngo-2025 inethemba kodwa ifuna ukuqaphela kunye nokuphendula ngokukhawuleza kwimingeni eqhubekayo nevelayo. Nokuba kunjalo, ukuqina okubonisiweyo kunyaka ophelileyo kusinike isizathu sokukholelwa ukuba imakethi yorhwebo lwehlabathi iya kuzisa ikamva eliqaqambileyo.
Ixesha leposi: Disemba-07-2024
