Njengoba sibheke phambili ku-2025, isimo sokuhweba somhlaba wonke sibonakala siyinselele futhi sigcwele amathuba. Ukungaqiniseki okukhulu njengokukhuphuka kwamanani kanye nokungezwani kwezepolitiki kuyaqhubeka, kodwa ukuqina kanye nokuzivumelanisa nezimo kwemakethe yokuhweba yomhlaba wonke kunikeza isisekelo esigcwele ithemba. Intuthuko ebalulekile yalo nyaka ikhombisa ukuthi izinguquko zesakhiwo ekuhwebeni komhlaba wonke ziyashesha, ikakhulukazi ngaphansi kwethonya eliphindwe kabili lokuthuthuka kwezobuchwepheshe kanye nezikhungo zomnotho ezishintshashintshayo.
Ngo-2024, ukuhweba ngezimpahla emhlabeni wonke kulindeleke ukuthi kukhule ngo-2.7% kuze kufike ku-$33 trillion, ngokusho kwezibikezelo ze-WTO. Nakuba lesi sibalo siphansi kunezibikezelo zangaphambilini, sisagcizelela ukuqina kanye namathuba okukhula emhlabeni jikelele.
ukuhweba. I-China, njengenye yezizwe ezinkulu kakhulu emhlabeni ezihwebayo, isalokhu iyinjini ebalulekile yokukhula kokuhweba komhlaba wonke, iqhubeka nokudlala indima enhle naphezu kwezingcindezi ezivela kwisidingo sasekhaya nesamazwe ngamazwe.
Uma sibheke phambili ku-2025, izitayela eziningana ezibalulekile zizoba nomthelela omkhulu ekuhwebeni komhlaba wonke. Okokuqala, ukuthuthuka okuqhubekayo kobuchwepheshe, ikakhulukazi ukusetshenziswa okuqhubekayo kobuchwepheshe bedijithali njenge-AI kanye ne-5G, kuzothuthukisa kakhulu ukusebenza kahle kokuhweba futhi kunciphise izindleko zokuthengiselana. Ikakhulukazi, ukuguqulwa kwedijithali kuzoba yithonya elibalulekile eliqhuba ukukhula kokuhweba, okwenza amabhizinisi amaningi ahlanganyele emakethe yomhlaba wonke. Okwesibili, ukululama kancane kancane komnotho womhlaba wonke kuzoqhubekisela phambili ukwanda kwesidingo, ikakhulukazi ezimakethe ezisafufusa njenge-India kanye ne-Southeast Asia, okuzoba yizinto ezintsha ezivelele ekukhuleni kokuhweba komhlaba wonke. Ngaphezu kwalokho, ukuqhubeka kokusetshenziswa kohlelo lwe-"Belt and Road" kuzokhuthaza ukubambisana kwezohwebo phakathi kwe-China namazwe asendleleni.
Kodwa-ke, indlela eya ekululameni ayiyona engenazo izinselelo. Izici zezombusazwe zihlala ziyisici esikhulu sokungaqiniseki esithinta ukuhweba komhlaba wonke. Izinkinga eziqhubekayo njengengxabano yaseRussia ne-Ukraine, ukungezwani kwezohwebo phakathi kwe-US ne-China, kanye nokuvikelwa kwezohwebo kwamanye amazwe kubeka izinselelo ekuthuthukisweni okuzinzile kokuhweba komhlaba wonke. Ngaphezu kwalokho, ijubane lokululama komnotho womhlaba wonke lingase lingalingani, okuholela ekushintsheni kwamanani ezimpahla kanye nezinqubomgomo zokuhweba.
Naphezu kwalezi zinselele, kunezizathu zokuba nethemba ngekusasa. Ukuthuthuka okuqhubekayo kobuchwepheshe akugcini nje ngokuqhuba ukuguqulwa kwezimboni zendabuko kodwa futhi kuletha amathuba amasha okuhwebelana ngamazwe ngamazwe. Uma nje ohulumeni namabhizinisi besebenzisana ukubhekana nalezi zinselele, u-2025 cishe uzoletha umjikelezo omusha wokukhula kwemijikelezo yokuhwebelana komhlaba wonke.
Ngamafuphi, umbono wokuhweba komhlaba wonke ngo-2025 unethemba kodwa udinga ukuqapha kanye nokuphendula ngokushesha ezinseleleni eziqhubekayo nezivelayo. Noma kunjalo, ukuqina okuboniswe ngonyaka odlule kusinikeze isizathu sokukholelwa ukuthi imakethe yokuhweba yomhlaba wonke izoletha ikusasa eliqhakazile.
Isikhathi sokuthunyelwe: Disemba-07-2024
