Dhoofinta alaabta carruurtu ku ciyaarto ee Shiinaha ayaa kor u kacday 32.4% sannadkiiba bishii Febraayo 2026. Kobaca xooggan ee Jarmalka (17.6%) iyo Japan (23.7%) ayaa muujinaya bilow wanaagsan sanadka. Akhriso falanqaynta xogta dhoofinta ee ugu dambeysay.
Horraantii 2026 waxay rajo wanaagsan u soo bandhigtay warshadaha alaabta carruurtu ku ciyaarto ee adduunka. Sida laga soo xigtay xogtii ugu dambeysay ee kastamka ee ay soo ururisay Ururka Alaabta Carruurta iyo Dhalinyarada ee Shiinaha (CTJPA), dhoofinta alaabta carruurtu ku ciyaarto ee Shiinaha - marka laga reebo ciyaaraha - waxay gaartay $5.06 bilyan bishii Janaayo-Febraayo 2026, taasoo muujinaysa koror sanadle ah oo ah 1.5%. Si gaar ah, Febraayo 2026 oo keliya ayaa la arkay koror aad u weyn oo ah 32.4% marka la barbar dhigo isla bishii hore sannadkii hore, taasoo siisay aasaas adag sanadka soo socda. Isbeddelkan wanaagsan ayaa si weyn loogu sharraxay warbixinnada warshadaha inay tahay "bilow xooggan" ama xitaa "dib u soo kabasho xooggan" oo loogu talagalay waaxda dhoofinta alaabta carruurtu ku ciyaarto ee Shiinaha sannadkii 2026.
Waxqabadka Gobolka: Jarmalka iyo Japan ayaa Hoggaaminaya Kobaca
Mareykanka:Waa meesha ugu weyn ee dhoofinta kaliya, iyadoo dhoofinta guud ay gaartay $1.29 bilyan labadii bilood ee ugu horreeyay 2026, taasoo ka dhigan 25.4% wadarta dhoofinta alaabta carruurtu ku ciyaarto ee Shiinaha. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, dhoofinta loo dhoofiyo Mareykanka waxay diiwaan gelisay hoos u dhac yar oo ah 2.5% sanadba sanadka ka dambeeya.
Midowga Yurub (EU):Dhoofinta ayaa kor u kacday 930 milyan, taasoo ah 8.4210 milyan, taasoo ah kobac cajiib ah oo ah 17.6% sanadba sanadka ka dambeeya.
Jabbaan:Dhoofinta Japan waxay gaartay $300 milyan laga bilaabo Janaayo ilaa Febraayo 2026, taasoo ka booday 23.7% isla xilligii sannadkii hore. Dhammaan suuqyada waaweyn ee dhoofinta, Japan waxay diiwaangelisay heerka kobaca ugu dhaqsaha badan.
Suuqyada Kale:Dhoofinta loo dhoofiyo Latin Ameerika si yar ayay u korodhay 1.4% ilaa 390 milyan. Dhanka kale, dhoofinta loo dhoofiyo Koonfur-bari Aasiya ayaa hoos u dhacday 15.2580 milyan, taasoo u badan tahay inay ka tarjumayso hagaajinta kaydka iyo isbeddellada qaababka baahida ee gobolka.
Qaybaha alaabta ugu waxqabadka badan: Alaabta lagu ciyaaro ee fuulista iyo hogaanka caruusadaha
Heerka qaybta badeecadaha shaqsiga ah (xeerarka kastamka ee hoos yimaada xeerka HS 9503), "alaabada lagu ciyaaro ee fuulista" - oo ay ku jiraan saddex-geesoodka, mootooyinka, iyo baabuurta baallaha - ayaa diiwaan geliyay faa'iidada ugu badan, iyadoo dhoofinta ay ahayd $370 milyan Janaayo-Febraayo 2026, taasoo ah koror xooggan oo ah 24.2% sanadba sanadka ka dambeeya. Alaabta carruurtu ku ciyaarto ee matalaya xayawaanka (xeerarka kastamka 95030021) iyo caruusadaha (xeerarka kastamka 95030029) labaduba waxay soo bandhigeen koror 12.5% iyo 12.6% sanadba sanadka ka dambeeya, siday u kala horreeyaan.
Awoodaha dhoofinta gobolka: Guangdong ayaa hogaamineysa, Beijing ayaa kor u kacday
Gobolka Guangdong—oo ah xarunta wax soo saarka iyo dhoofinta alaabta carruurtu ku ciyaarto ee aan muranka lahayn ee Shiinaha—ayaa diiwaan geliyay dhoofinta alaabta carruurtu ku ciyaarto oo dhan $2.03 bilyan labadii bilood ee ugu horreeyay 2026, taasoo ah koror dhan 24.1% sannadkiiba taasoo ka dhigan 40.1% wadarta dhoofinta alaabta carruurtu ku ciyaarto ee Shiinaha, taasoo kor u kacday 7.3 boqolkiiba marka loo eego isla xilligii sannadkii hore. Beijing waxay sidoo kale diiwaan gelisay faa'iido gaar ah oo dhan 57.2% sannadkiiba, taasoo inta badan ay keentay ganacsiga alaabada naqshadaynta iyo kuwa tiknoolajiyadda ku shaqeeya.
Qoraal taxaddar leh oo ku saabsan caqabadaha iyo kharashyada
Iyadoo ay jirto dib u soo kabasho xooggan oo dhoofinta ah, ka qaybgalayaasha warshadaha ayaa weli feejigan. Sida si weyn looga soo sheegay Carwada Canton ee 139-aad gu'gii 2026, kororka kharashyada alaabta ceeriin - gaar ahaan balaastikada ku xiran saliidda sida ABS, polypropylene, iyo polyethylene - ayaa sii waday inay yareeyaan faa'iidooyinka. Mid ka mid ah dhoofiyayaasha alaabta carruurtu ku ciyaarto ee caanka ah ee yar ilaa dhexdhexaadka ah ayaa xusay in "qaab-dhismeedka dalabku uu si weyn uga wareegay dhowr alaab oo tiro badan ah (tusaale ahaan, 3-4 SKUs oo ah 10,000+ unug midkiiba) una wareegay alaabo badan oo tiro yar ah (tusaale ahaan, 10+ SKUs oo ah dhowr boqol oo unug SKU ah)". Ka badbaada oo ku barwaaqowda suuqa alaabta carruurtu ku ciyaarto ee adduunka maanta ayaa sii kordheysa macnaheedu yahay in la haysto silsiladda sahayda dabacsan iyo awoodaha wax soo saarka ee firfircoon ee loo baahan yahay si wax ku ool ah loo maareeyo dalabaadka "dufcad yar, noocyo badan". Isbeddelka silsiladda sahayda ayaa weli ah mid caadi ah oo cusub.
Muuqaalka 2026: Sannad rajo wanaagsan oo taxaddar leh
Dib-u-soo-celinta dhoofinta 2026 waxay bixisaa caddayn hore oo muujinaysa in baahida caalamiga ah ee alaabta carruurtu ku ciyaarto ee Shiinaha ay weli tahay mid xooggan oo qaab-dhismeed ahaan. Iyadoo caqabadaha - oo ay ku jiraan hubanti la'aanta siyaasadda ganacsiga, isbeddelka qiimaha alaabta ceeriin ah, iyo qaab-dhismeedka kala-beddelka (dufcad yar/isku-darka sare) - ay sii jiraan, xogta Febraayo 2026 waxay soo jeedinaysaa in warshaduhu ay galayaan 2026 iyagoo ku jira dhul adag.
Waqtiga boostada: Maajo-11-2026