Ukuthunyelwa kweethoyi ezivela eTshayina kunyuke ngama-32.4% unyaka nonyaka ngoFebruwari 2026. Ukukhula okuqinileyo eJamani (17.6%) naseJapan (23.7%) kubonisa ukuqala okuqinileyo konyaka. Funda uhlalutyo lwamva nje lwedatha yokuthumela ngaphandle.
Ekuqaleni kuka-2026 kuzise ithemba elikhulu kwishishini leethoyi zehlabathi. Ngokwedatha yamva nje yezemali eqokelelwe yi-China Toy and Juvenile Products Association (CTJPA), ukuthunyelwa kweethoyi eTshayina—ngaphandle kwemidlalo—kufikelele kwi-$5.06 yeebhiliyoni ngoJanuwari ukuya kuFebruwari 2026, nto leyo ephawula ukunyuka konyaka nge-1.5%. Okubaluleke ngakumbi kukuba, ngoFebruwari 2026 kuphela ubone ukunyuka okukhulu kwe-32.4% xa kuthelekiswa nenyanga efanayo kunyaka ophelileyo, okubonelela ngesiseko esomeleleyo sonyaka ozayo. Le ndlela intle ichazwe ngokubanzi kwiingxelo zoshishino njengesiqalo esomeleleyo okanye “ukubuyela umva okunamandla” kwicandelo lokuthunyelwa kweethoyi eTshayina ngo-2026.
Ukusebenza kweSithili: IJamani neJapan zikhokela uKhulo
Amazwe Amanyene:Ihlala iyeyona ndawo inkulu yokuthumela ngaphandle, apho ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kufikelele kwi-$1.29 yeebhiliyoni kwiinyanga ezimbini zokuqala zika-2026, oku kuthetha ukuba yi-25.4% yexabiso lilonke leempahla zokudlala zaseTshayina ezithunyelwa kwamanye amazwe. Nangona kunjalo, ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe eMelika kubhalise ukwehla okuncinci kwe-2.5% unyaka nonyaka.
IManyano yaseYurophu (i-EU):Ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kunyuke kwaya kwi-930 yezigidi, i-8.4210 yezigidi, ukukhula okumangalisayo kwe-17.6% unyaka nonyaka.
Japhan:Ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe eJapan kufikelele kwi-$300 yezigidi ngoJanuwari ukuya kuFebruwari 2026, kunyuke nge-23.7% ukusuka kwixesha elifanayo kunyaka ophelileyo. Kuzo zonke iimarike ezinkulu zokuthumela kwamanye amazwe, iJapan ibhale izinga lokukhula elikhawulezayo.
Ezinye iiMarike:Ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe eLatin America kukhule kancinci nge-1.4% ukuya kwi-390 yezigidi. Okwangoku, ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kuMzantsi-mpuma we-Asia kwehle nge-15.2580 yezigidi, mhlawumbi kubonisa utshintsho kwimpahla kunye nokutshintsha kweendlela zemfuno kulo mmandla.
Iindidi zeemveliso ezisebenza kakuhle: Izinto zokudlala ezikhwela kunye needoli eziphambili
Kwinqanaba lemveliso nganye nganye (iikhowudi zerhafu phantsi kwekhowudi ye-HS 9503), "izinto zokudlala ezikhwela" - kuquka ii-tricycles, ii-scooter, kunye neemoto zepedal - zizuze kakhulu, ngokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kwe-$370 yezigidi ngoJanuwari ukuya kuFebruwari 2026, ukunyuka okuqinileyo kwe-24.2% unyaka nonyaka. Izinto zokudlala ezimele izilwanyana (ikhowudi yerhafu 95030021) kunye noonodoli (ikhowudi yerhafu 95030029) zombini zibonise ukunyuka kwe-12.5% kunye ne-12.6% unyaka nonyaka, ngokwahlukeneyo.
Iinkampani ezinamandla zokuthumela ngaphandle kwelizwe: IGuangdong ikhokela, iBeijing iyanda
Iphondo laseGuangdong—indawo evelisa kunye nokuthumela izinto zokudlala eTshayina engathethekiyo—lirekhode ukuthunyelwa kwezinto zokudlala ezithengiswayo ezixabisa i-$2.03 yeebhiliyoni kwiinyanga ezimbini zokuqala zika-2026, ukunyuka kwama-24.1% ngonyaka okwenze ukuba kubekho i-40.1% yazo zonke izinto zokudlala ezithunyelwa eTshayina, ukunyuka ngama-7.3 eepesenti ukusuka kwixesha elifanayo kunyaka ophelileyo. IBeijing ikwarekhode inzuzo ebalaseleyo yama-57.2% unyaka nonyaka, ikakhulu ngenxa yorhwebo kwiimveliso ezikhokelwa kuyilo oluphezulu kunye nezobuchwepheshe.
Inqaku elilumkileyo malunga nemingeni kunye neendleko
Nangona kukho ukunyuka okukhulu kokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe, abathathi-nxaxheba kushishino bahlala bephaphile. Njengoko kuxelwe ngokubanzi kwi-139th Canton Fair entwasahlobo ka-2026, ukunyuka kwamaxabiso ezinto eziluhlaza—ingakumbi iiplastiki ezidityaniswe neoyile ezifana ne-ABS, i-polypropylene, kunye ne-polyethylene—kuqhubekile nokunciphisa umda. Omnye umthengisi wezinto zokudlala ezincinci ukuya kweziphakathi odumileyo waphawula ukuba “izakhiwo zeodolo zitshintshe kakhulu ukusuka kwizinto ezimbalwa ngobuninzi obukhulu (umz., ii-SKU ezi-3–4 kwiiyunithi ezingaphezu kwe-10,000 nganye) ukuya kwizinto ezininzi ngobuninzi obuncinci (umz., ii-SKU ezili-10+ kwiiyunithi ezingamakhulu ambalwa kwi-SKU nganye)”. Ukusinda nokuchuma kwimarike yezinto zokudlala yehlabathi yanamhlanje kuthetha ngakumbi ukuba nekhonkco lokubonelela eliguquguqukayo kunye nezakhono zokwenza izinto ngokukhawuleza ezifunekayo ukulawula ngokufanelekileyo ii-odolo “ezincinci, ezahlukeneyo”. Ukuguquguquka kwekhonkco lokubonelela kuseyinto eqhelekileyo entsha.
I-Outlook 2026: Unyaka wethemba elinononophelo
Ukwanda kokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe ngo-2026 kubonelela ngobungqina bokuqala bokuba imfuno yehlabathi yezinto zokudlala zaseTshayina isaqinile ngokwesakhiwo. Nangona imingeni—kuquka ukungaqiniseki komgaqo-nkqubo worhwebo, ukuguquguquka kwamaxabiso ezinto eziluhlaza, kunye nokutshintsha kwezakhiwo ze-odolo (ibhetshi encinci/umxube ophezulu)—iqhubeka, idatha kaFebruwari 2026 ibonisa ukuba eli shishini lingena kumhlaba oqinileyo ka-2026.
Ixesha leposi: Meyi-11-2026
