Ukuthunyelwa Kwamathoyizi Kwaphinde Kwavela Ekuqaleni Kuka-2026: Yini Eqhuba Ukuvuselelwa Kwawo?

Ukuthunyelwa kwamathoyizi avela eShayina kukhuphuke ngo-32.4% unyaka nonyaka ngoFebhuwari 2026. Ukukhula okunamandla eJalimane (17.6%) kanye naseJapan (23.7%) kukhombisa ukuqala okuqinile konyaka. Funda ukuhlaziywa kwedatha yakamuva yokuthumela kwamanye amazwe.

Ekuqaleni kuka-2026 kulethe ithemba embonini yamathoyizi yomhlaba wonke. Ngokusho kwedatha yakamuva yentela ehlanganiswe yi-China Toy and Juvenile Products Association (CTJPA), ukuthunyelwa kwamathoyizi eShayina—ngaphandle kwemidlalo—kufinyelele ku-$5.06 billion ngoJanuwari–Febhuwari 2026, okubonisa ukwanda konyaka nonyaka kwe-1.5%. Okuphawuleka kakhulu ukuthi uFebhuwari 2026 kuphela ubone ukwanda okukhulu kwe-32.4% uma kuqhathaniswa nenyanga efanayo ngonyaka odlule, okunikeza isisekelo esiqinile sonyaka ozayo. Lo mkhuba omuhle uchazwe kabanzi kuyo yonke imibiko yemboni “njengokuqala okuqinile” noma “ukubuyela emuva okunamandla” komkhakha wamathoyizi eShayina ngo-2026.

ukuhweba kwamanye amazwe

Ukusebenza Kwesifunda: IJalimane neJapan Zihola Ekukhuleni

I-united states:Kusalokhu kuyindawo enkulu kunazo zonke yokuthumela kwamanye amazwe, lapho ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kufinyelele ku-$1.29 billion ezinyangeni ezimbili zokuqala zika-2026, okubalwa ku-25.4% wesamba samathoyizi athunyelwa eShayina. Kodwa-ke, ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe e-US kuqophe ukwehla okuncane ngo-2.5% unyaka nonyaka.

I-European Union (i-EU):Ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kukhuphuke kwafinyelela ku-930 million, okuyi-8.4210 million, okuwukukhula okuphawulekayo okungu-17.6% unyaka nonyaka.

IJapane:Ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe eJapan kufinyelele ku-$300 million kusukela ngoJanuwari kuya kuFebhuwari 2026, kwenyuka ngo-23.7% kusukela esikhathini esifanayo ngonyaka odlule. Phakathi kwazo zonke izimakethe ezinkulu zokuthumela kwamanye amazwe, iJapan iqophe izinga lokukhula okusheshayo.

Ezinye Izimakethe:Ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe eLatin America kukhule kancane ngo-1.4% kwaya ku-390 million. Phakathi naleso sikhathi, ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe eNingizimu-mpumalanga ye-Asia kwehle ngo-15.2580 million, okungenzeka ukuthi kubonisa ukulungiswa kwempahla kanye nokushintsha kwamaphethini esidingo esifundeni.

Izigaba zomkhiqizo ezisebenza kahle kakhulu: Amathoyizi okugibela kanye nonodoli abaholayo

Ezingeni lesigaba somkhiqizo ngamunye (amakhodi entela ngaphansi kwekhodi ye-HS 9503), "amathoyizi okugibela" - kufaka phakathi amabhayisikili anamasondo amathathu, ama-scooter, kanye nezimoto eziphedayo - aqophe inzuzo enkulu kunazo zonke, ngokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe okungu-$370 million ngoJanuwari-Febhuwari 2026, ukwanda okuqinile okungu-24.2% unyaka nonyaka. Amathoyizi amelela izilwane (ikhodi yentela 95030021) kanye nonodoli (ikhodi yentela 95030029) womabili athole ukwanda okungu-12.5% ​​kanye no-12.6% unyaka nonyaka, ngokulandelana.

Izikhungo ezinamandla zokuthumela kwamanye amazwe zesifunda: I-Guangdong ihola phambili, iBeijing iyanda

Isifundazwe saseGuangdong—isikhungo sokukhiqiza nokuthumela amathoyizi eShayina esingaphikiswa—siqophe ukuthunyelwa kwamathoyizi kwamanye amazwe okungu-$2.03 billion ezinyangeni ezimbili zokuqala zika-2026, okuwukwenyuka okungu-24.1% unyaka nonyaka okubangele u-40.1% wesamba samathoyizi athunyelwa kwamanye amazwe eShayina, okwenyuke ngamaphesenti angu-7.3 kusukela esikhathini esifanayo ngonyaka odlule. IBeijing iphinde yaqopha inzuzo emangalisayo engu-57.2% unyaka nonyaka, okubangelwa kakhulu ukuhweba ngemikhiqizo eholwa ukuklama kanye nenikwe amandla ubuchwepheshe.

Inothi eliqaphile ngezinselele nezindleko

Naphezu kokwanda kokubuya kwezimpahla kwamanye amazwe, ababambiqhaza embonini bahlala beqaphile. Njengoba kubikwe kabanzi e-139th Canton Fair entwasahlobo ka-2026, izindleko zezinto zokusetshenziswa ezikhulayo—ikakhulukazi amapulasitiki axhunywe uwoyela njenge-ABS, i-polypropylene, kanye ne-polyethylene—ziqhubekile nokunciphisa imingcele. Omunye umthengisi wamathoyizi amancane kuya kwaphakathi ovelele waphawula ukuthi “izakhiwo zama-oda zishintshe kakhulu kusukela ezintweni ezimbalwa ngobuningi obukhulu (isb., ama-SKU angu-3-4 kumayunithi angu-10,000+ ngalinye) kuya ezintweni eziningi ngobuningi obuncane (isb., ama-SKU angu-10+ kumayunithi angamakhulu ambalwa nje nge-SKU ngayinye)”. Ukusinda nokuchuma emakethe yamathoyizi yomhlaba wonke yanamuhla kusho ngokwengeziwe ukuba nochungechunge lokuhlinzeka oluguquguqukayo kanye namakhono okukhiqiza asheshayo adingekayo ukuphatha ngempumelelo ama-oda “amancane, ahlukahlukene kakhulu”. Ukuguquguquka kochungechunge lokuhlinzeka kuseyinto evamile entsha.

I-Outlook 2026: Unyaka wethemba eliqaphile

Ukwanda kokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe ngo-2026 kunikeza ubufakazi bokuqala bokuthi isidingo somhlaba wonke samathoyizi aseShayina sisalokhu siqinile ngokwesakhiwo. Nakuba izinselelo—kufaka phakathi ukungaqiniseki kwenqubomgomo yokuhweba, ukuguquguquka kwentengo yezinto zokusetshenziswa, kanye nezakhiwo zokushintsha kwe-oda (iqembu elincane/ingxube ephezulu)—ziqhubeka, idatha kaFebhuwari 2026 iphakamisa ukuthi imboni ingena ku-2026 iqinile.


Isikhathi sokuthunyelwe: Meyi-11-2026